Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000867 0.000911 0.000955 0.001004 0.001057 0.001111 0.001171
2025-08-10 0.000787 0.000849 0.000915 0.000991 0.001074 0.001163 0.001267
2025-08-17 0.000720 0.000794 0.000874 0.000967 0.001074 0.001192 0.001334
2025-08-24 0.000672 0.000754 0.000845 0.000954 0.001081 0.001225 0.001403
2025-08-31 0.000641 0.000730 0.000831 0.000954 0.001100 0.001271 0.001488
2025-09-07 0.000609 0.000703 0.000810 0.000944 0.001106 0.001300 0.001550
2025-09-14 0.000583 0.000681 0.000794 0.000937 0.001115 0.001330 0.001615
2025-09-21 0.000559 0.000659 0.000777 0.000928 0.001119 0.001354 0.001672
2025-09-28 0.000536 0.000637 0.000759 0.000917 0.001119 0.001372 0.001719
2025-10-05 0.000510 0.000611 0.000734 0.000895 0.001104 0.001370 0.001740
2025-10-12 0.000493 0.000596 0.000721 0.000888 0.001108 0.001391 0.001792
2025-10-19 0.000477 0.000581 0.000710 0.000882 0.001111 0.001412 0.001844
2025-10-26 0.000467 0.000574 0.000707 0.000889 0.001134 0.001461 0.001941
2025-11-02 0.000453 0.000561 0.000698 0.000886 0.001143 0.001492 0.002014
2025-11-09 0.000434 0.000541 0.000678 0.000869 0.001133 0.001495 0.002046
2025-11-16 0.000418 0.000526 0.000664 0.000858 0.001131 0.001509 0.002095
2025-11-23 0.000408 0.000517 0.000658 0.000858 0.001143 0.001545 0.002177
2025-11-30 0.000396 0.000504 0.000646 0.000850 0.001143 0.001561 0.002231
2025-12-07 0.000385 0.000493 0.000637 0.000844 0.001146 0.001583 0.002293
2025-12-14 0.000374 0.000482 0.000626 0.000836 0.001146 0.001599 0.002346
2025-12-21 0.000363 0.000470 0.000614 0.000826 0.001141 0.001608 0.002389
2025-12-28 0.000349 0.000454 0.000596 0.000807 0.001123 0.001595 0.002395
2026-01-04 0.000340 0.000445 0.000588 0.000801 0.001124 0.001612 0.002450